
A Valentine's Day flower shop gets ready four to six weeks ahead: first a forecast from last year, then pre-orders with suppliers, cold space, people and customer pre-orders. The holiday itself lasts two or three days, but it is decided in early January, while suppliers still take orders at known prices and can confirm dates.
In short
- Forecast from your own sales last year by day and by line, adjusted for the day of the week and any new sales channels.
- Book the main volume (red roses first, then mixed flowers and wrapping) with suppliers four to six weeks out, with delivery dates and agreed substitutions.
- You will need several times your usual cold space: find it in January, not on 12 February.
- Confirm shifts, couriers and helpers three weeks before; open customer pre-orders two weeks before.
- Plan 15 February as carefully as the 14th, and treat Mother's Day as the second peak: early March in the UK and Ireland in 2027, May in most of continental Europe.
Valentine's Day flower shop: why preparation starts in early January
For most florists mid-February is the busiest stretch of the year. In two or three days you sell what normally takes several weeks, and every mistake grows with the volume: no red roses at lunchtime on the 13th, a cold room full of roses on the 15th, a florist making bouquets until two in the morning.
Three things cannot be sorted out a week before.
Stock. Growers and importers plan Valentine's programmes for roses from Kenya, Ecuador and Colombia well in advance, and wholesalers collect pre-orders early. If you arrive in the second week of February, you get what is left at whatever the price has become. Prices for red roses at the auction and at cash-and-carry wholesalers usually climb in the run-up, so an early order also protects your margin.
Cold space. A normal cold room is sized for 3–4 days of an ordinary week. The holiday stock does not fit, and roses left in a warm shop open too far within a day.
People. Every shop in town looks for experienced florists and drivers in the same week. Whoever agreed terms in January works with people they know; whoever starts in February works with whoever is still free.
In 2027, 14 February falls on a Sunday. Deliveries to workplaces will cluster on Friday 12 February, the retail peak will run through Saturday 13 and Sunday morning, and you need to check what your local Sunday trading rules allow.
Forecasting volume from your own last year
For a Valentine's Day flower shop the best source of a forecast is your own sales from last year's holiday, by day and by line. If you did not record sales by line, pull out supplier invoices and till reports for 8–15 February: what you bought minus what was left on the 16th gives a rough but honest figure.
An example for a neighbourhood shop:
| Line | Sold 11–14 Feb last year | Adjustment | Plan this year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red roses 50–60 cm, stems | 1,500 | +10%: a new office building opened nearby | 1,650 |
| Single wrapped roses | 400 | no change | 400 |
| Mixed bouquets | 120 | +15%: online pre-orders opening this year | 140 |
| Tulips, stems | 800 | no change | 800 |
| Pink and white roses, stems | 600 | −10%: 90 stems were thrown away last year | 540 |
| Potted orchids and plants | 40 | no change | 40 |
Only adjust for things you can name: a new competitor nearby, a new sales channel, a different day of the week, last year's shortage or waste. "It should be busier" is not an adjustment.
Also work out how much of the plan sells on which day. Last year the 14th was a Saturday; in 2027 it is a Sunday, so more of the volume moves to Friday and Saturday. Split the delivery into two or three parts rather than bringing everything in on one truck.
Supplier pre-orders: what to fix in writing
Four to six weeks before the holiday, agree the main volume with your suppliers. Work with at least two: if one wholesaler cannot deliver the roses, the second can cover at least part of the gap. How to choose suppliers and work with them in ordinary weeks is covered in the guide to wholesale flowers.
What to put in writing, even if only by email or message:
- lines, quantities, stem length and colour;
- delivery date and time, ideally in two or three parts (for example 9, 11 and 12 February);
- the price, or the rule for setting it;
- the deposit and what happens to it if the supplier delivers short;
- acceptable substitutions: which colour or variety can replace which, and up to what share.
If your wholesaler's site runs on Petala, goods in transit carry their arrival date and can be reserved ahead, so roses for a delivery on 9 February can be booked in January. The cart splits the order into what ships from stock and what comes with the incoming delivery, each with its own date, and stock from the warehouse is held for you for 30 minutes while you check out. In the busiest week that protects you from the last boxes going to another shop while you are still counting. You can see how this looks for a trade buyer on the demo website.
Cold space for the holiday stock
Cut flowers are stored at +2 to +8 °C, and in Valentine's week that is the first rule to break: the cold room is full, boxes stand in the back room and the display is open all day. Work out the volume in advance: how many buckets the plan above needs and how many of them fit in your cold room.
Options if you are short of space:
- rent an extra cold room or display cooler for February and book it in early January, while there is still a choice;
- split deliveries so that at any moment you hold stock for one or two days only;
- agree with a supplier that part of the volume stays in their cold store and comes on request;
- use an unheated room as back-up cold space, but with a thermometer and a check of the night-time temperature.
Roses are the main risk: in warmth they open quickly and a fully open rose no longer sells as a Valentine's rose. Keep them cold until the last hour. Tulips keep growing in water and open in warmth, so they also stay in the cold. Settings for different flowers are covered in the guide to storing cut flowers.
People, shifts and preparation
In a Valentine's Day flower shop the bottleneck is usually hands, not flowers. Estimate the workload in units: how many ready-made bouquets you need to make on 12–14 February and how many of them are pre-orders. At a calm pace a florist makes a bouquet in 10–15 minutes; on a peak day faster, but not endlessly. If you need 150 bouquets a day, one florist will not manage at any speed.
What to do two to three weeks ahead:
- Fix the rota for 11–15 February: who makes bouquets, who serves at the till, who takes the morning deliveries. At the peak the florist and the person at the till should not swap roles.
- Bring in helpers for simple tasks: cleaning stems, wrapping single roses, handing out orders. Train them in advance, not on the morning of the 14th.
- Arrange couriers for 11–14 February: your own drivers, people you know, or a delivery service. Couriers are in short supply that week, and so are slots on relay networks.
- Prepare materials: cut wrapping and ribbon, write card templates, make up kits for single roses and for bunches of 6, 12 and 24 roses.
A few days before, do a trial run of three or four best-selling bouquets: how many minutes each takes, how much wrapping it uses, and whether there are enough vases and buckets on the table.
Customer pre-orders and prices
Pre-orders take part of the peak away: the bouquet is made on the evening of the 13th, and on the 14th you only hand it out. Open them two weeks ahead, take them with payment in advance and with a pick-up or delivery window. Without advance payment some orders will not be collected, and the flowers for them are already bought.
Make a separate offer for businesses: roses for a team, flowers for reception, delivery on Friday morning. In 2027 almost all of these orders will land on 12 February.
Recalculate prices from the holiday purchase cost, not from the January price list. If roses cost you more and the price in the shop stays the same, you sell more and earn less. How to build purchase cost and waste into the price is explained in the guide to flower markup. Print labels for the main lines in advance: at the peak nobody has time to write them.
Valentine's Day flower shop plan for 2027, week by week
| When | What to do |
|---|---|
| Before Christmas | Pull last year's sales by day and line, shortlist two or three suppliers, ask when they close Valentine's orders |
| 6 weeks out (w/c 4 Jan) | Make the forecast, send pre-orders, agree dates, prices, deposit and substitutions |
| 5 weeks out (w/c 11 Jan) | Count cold space, book an extra cooler, buy wrapping, cards and buckets |
| 4 weeks out (w/c 18 Jan) | Draft the rota, line up helpers and couriers |
| 3 weeks out (w/c 25 Jan) | Confirm the rota and couriers, prepare the business offer |
| 2 weeks out (w/c 1 Feb) | Open customer pre-orders, send the business offer, update prices |
| 1 week out (w/c 8 Feb) | Recheck pre-orders with suppliers, trial run, prepare wrapping and cards |
| 9–11 Feb | First deliveries, quality check on arrival, make up business orders |
| Fri 12 Feb | Deliver business orders, second delivery, retail flow starts |
| Sat 13 Feb | Main retail day, make up Sunday pre-orders in the evening, watch the cold room |
| Sun 14 Feb | Hand out pre-orders in the morning, last flow, discount on anything opening by evening |
| 15–16 Feb | Use up leftovers, review the holiday, record the figures for next year |
Keep an eye on supplier announcements during the week. Wholesalers on Petala send announcements about extra deliveries and changes straight to the buyer's account, next to the next shipment and goods in transit, so they are easy to check every morning of the holiday week.
15 February: what to do with leftovers
On the morning of the 15th demand drops close to zero, and the cold room holds roses bought at holiday prices. Decide in advance what will happen to them.
- Roses in pastel shades and chrysanthemums go into everyday bouquets and regular deliveries: they will last several more days.
- Red roses sell worse after the holiday at full price; sell them on the evening of the 14th at a discount or use them in bouquets of the day.
- Fully open flowers go into arrangements of the day at a lower price, not into the bin.
Then record the figures: how much you bought, sold and threw away on each line, which day and hour was the peak, what ran out. In a year this table becomes your forecast. How to break waste down by cause is covered in the article on flower waste.
Mother's Day: the second peak of the spring
Mother's Day is the second big date, and the calendar depends on the country. In the UK and Ireland, Mothering Sunday falls three weeks before Easter, so it moves around March; in 2027 it is on 7 March, only three weeks after Valentine's Day. Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria and Italy celebrate on the second Sunday of May (9 May 2027), and France later in May.
The same plan works, but the mix is different. Red roses give way to mixed bouquets, pastel roses, tulips, ranunculus and potted plants, and more orders are delivered to another town. Two things matter more than in February: delivery capacity on the Saturday before, and enough ready-made bouquets at three price points. If you sell in the UK or Ireland, run the two peaks as one project: Mother's Day orders go to suppliers while Valentine's stock is still in the cold room. Regular customers with flower deliveries can be offered a holiday bouquet in place of their usual one, which secures their order early; the guide to a flower subscription explains how to set that service up.
Frequently asked questions
How much does a flower shop make on Valentine's Day?
It depends on the format, the location and the preparation; there are no reliable market-wide figures. Work out your own: multiply the planned number of bouquets for 12–14 February by your average sale. As an indicative example, 250 bouquets at €45 is €11,250 of takings for the holiday; from that subtract the holiday purchase cost, waste, extra pay for staff and couriers.
When should florists order roses for Valentine's Day?
Four to six weeks before, which means late December or the first half of January. At that point suppliers still take pre-orders for the holiday dates and can confirm volume. Later you get only what is left, at last-minute prices.
How many roses should I buy for Valentine's Day?
As many as you sold last year, plus an adjustment for what has changed: new neighbours, online pre-orders, a different day of the week. If you have no data, start with a cautious volume and agree with your supplier that you can top up on 11–12 February.
When is Mother's Day for florists in Europe?
In the UK and Ireland, Mothering Sunday is three weeks before Easter, on 7 March in 2027. Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria and Italy celebrate on the second Sunday of May, 9 May in 2027, and France later in May. Check the date for each country you deliver to.
What should I do with flowers left after Valentine's Day?
Put pastel roses and chrysanthemums into everyday bouquets and regular deliveries, sell red roses on the evening of the 14th at a discount, and make fully open flowers into bouquets of the day. Ordering the delivery in parts is what keeps the leftovers small in the first place.
Storage & stockFlower waste: normal levels, causes and how to reduce it
PurchasingWholesale Flowers for Your Shop: Where to Buy and How Not to Overpay
Storage & stockStoring cut flowers: how to make stems last longer in your shop